Contact tracing as a personalization framework

Published: April 8, 2021

Why do we need contact tracing?

The Covid-19 pandemic has forced policy experts to make challenging trade-offs between public health and economic activity. As a result, countries have gone through a series of lockdowns, experiencing the perils of a yo-yo economy. Digital Contact Tracing should have been an obvious technical solution to such a globally prevalent problem, i.e., to control the disease outbreak yet allowing regular daily activity. But it failed. Why? Perhaps, we lack a rigorous understanding of contact tracing. It involves people belonging to various professions spanning epidemiology to computer science and behavioural studies. Perhaps, there isn’t a rigorous framework that combines these disciplines and gives everyone an entry point to explore their ideas and improve contact tracing. We need a framework to help us better respond to a future pandemic (please, not again).

As a team of researchers in computer science, machine learning, and epidemiology, we worked extensively to understand how contact tracing technology can be improved further. As a result, we proposed a framework called Proactive Contact Tracing that we developed and evaluated with a simulator. While all of the work is in the public domain, in this series of posts, I will attempt to explain the essence of contact tracing, argue that it is primarily a personalization problem, lay down the building blocks of such a framework, and illustrate how existing methods are just different manifestations of this framework. I will conclude with future directions and the necessity to improve the framework.

Read along for more details

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank Prof. Yoshua Bengio for initiating this massive effort to deliver an innovative contact tracing solution. His involvement and dedication to solve the problem were crucial to navigate the gory complexities involved in this entire project. As a researcher, it allowed me to use my skills to contribute to social good and taught me to be a better cross-disciplinary collaborator.

This series of articles wouldn’t have been possible without a massive collaboration. It was heartwarming to see how everyone involved in the project was ready to devote their time and skills to develop the COVI mobile app that implements the framework discussed in this blog series. Without their involvement, it would not have been possible to iterate and build this framework.

The whole project evolved organically, with people taking responsibility for their share of work. It naturally involved massive cross-disciplinary brainstorming sessions. As a result, our first 2-3 months were spent understanding the objectives, constraints, and challenges of an appropriate Bluetooth communication protocol. Thus, I would like to thank all the people involved in COVI White Paper for their time to engage in fruitful discussions. It wouldn’t have been possible to sustain the momentum without their involvement.

After the Québec government nixed the idea of using the contact tracing app altogether, subsequent months were involved in prototyping the framework using the simulator. We hoped to put our ideas in the public domain to be improved further. These efforts culminated in COVI-AgentSim, a simulator to prototype our proposed framework, and COVI-ML, a potential deep learning solution to execute the framework. Thus, I would like to thank the people involved in these efforts for their time, energy, perseverance, and creativity. A special thanks to Tegan Maharaj, Nasim Rahaman, Martin Weiss, Hannah Alsdurf, Nanor Minoyan, Soren Harnois Leblanc, Joanna Merckx, Andrew Williams, Pierre-Luc St. Charles, and Victor Schmidt for slogging together and managing various aspects of this work.

Lastly, all of the above works wouldn’t have been possible without the funding from NSERC, CIHR, CIFAR, FRQNT, Scale AI, and compute resources of MPI-IS cluster, Compute Canada & Calcul Quebec, in particular, the Beluga cluster.

Finally, I’d like to thank Prof. Yoshua Bengio, Tim Ecott (RLF Fellow, Exeter College), Prof. Bernhard Schölkopf, and Yang Zhang for their helpful feedback in writing this blog.

People

COVI White paper

Hannah Alsdurf, Edmond Belliveau, Yoshua Bengio, Tristan Deleu, Daphne Ippolito, Richard Janda, Max Jarvie, Tyler Kolody, Sekoul Krastev, Tegan Maharaj, Robert Obryk, Dan Pilat, Valérie Pisano, Benjamin Prud’homme, Meng Qu, Nasim Rahaman, Irina Rish, Jean-François Rousseau, Victor Schmidt, Abhinav Sharma, Brooke Struck, Jian Tang, Martin Weiss, Yun William Yu, Sumukh Aithal, Behrouz Babaki, Henri Barbeau, Edmond Belliveau, Vincent Berenz, Olexa Bilaniuk, Amélie Bissonnette-Montminy, Pierre Boivin, Emélie Brunet, Joé Bussière, Gaétan Marceau Caron, René Cadieux, Pierre Luc Carrier, Hyunghoon Cho, Anthony Courchesne, Linda Dupuis, Justine Gauthier, Joumana Ghosn, Gauthier Gidel, Marc-Henri Gires, Simon Guist, Deborah Hinton, Bogdan Hlveca, Bernd Holznagel, Samuel Huberman, Shrey Jain, Jameson Jones-Doyle, Dilshan Kathriarachchi, Giancarlo Kerg, Soundarya Krishnan, David Lazar, Frédéric Laurin, Sacha Leprêtre, Stéphane Létourneau, Alexandre Limoges, Danielle Langlois, Vincent Martineau, Lucas Mathieu, Philippe Matte, Rim Mohsen, Eilif Muller, Ermanno Napolitano, David Noreau, Ivan Oreshnikov, Satya Ortiz-Gagné, Jean-Claude Passy, Marie Pellat, Dan Popovici, Daniel Powell, Brad Rabin, Catherine Saine, Shanya Sharma, Kareem Shehata, Pierre-Luc St-Charles, Marie-Claude Surprenant, Mélisande Teng, Julien Tremblay-Gravel, David Wu, and Lenka Zdeborova

COVI-AgentSim & COVI-ML

Tegan Maharaj, Martin Weiss, Nasim Rahaman, Hannah Alsdurf, Abhinav Sharma, Nanor Minoyan, Soren Harnois Leblanc, Victor Schmidt, Pierre-Luc St. Charles, Tristan Deleu, Andrew Williams, Akshay Patel, Meng Qu, Olexa Bilaniuk, Gaétan Marceau Caron, Pierre Luc Carrier, Satya Ortiz-Gagné, Marc-Andre Rousseau, David Buckeridge, Joumana Ghosn, Yang Zhang, Bernhard Schölkopf, Jian Tang, Irina Rish, Christopher Pal, Joanna Merckx, Eilif B. Muller, Yoshua Bengio

Why do we need contact tracing?